Sunday, August 24, 2008
China Vs. USA
See the Cafe Hayek post.
Friday, August 22, 2008
From the Kansas Dept of Labor
Looks like Government in Kansas is the place to be working. However, when over a third of the jobs "created" in the state are government jobs doesn't that mean we all have to pay more in taxes? Why yes it does. Looks like Gov. Sebelius will be the perfect running mate for B Hussein. Their economics are about the same.
From Kansas Department of Labor:
According to July 2008 estimates, Kansas businesses added 5,200 jobs in the last year, a 0.4 percent increase. Six of the 11 major industries added jobs in the last year.
Government added 3,100 jobs in the last year a 1.3 percent increase. Most of the gains in this area were primarily due to additions in local government.
For the Union Crowd
Combating Corruption Harming Union Members: During FY 2007, the Department’s Office of Labor-Management Standards (OLMS) secured 100 indictments and 118 convictions against union officials and related parties for crimes, such as fraud and embezzlement. Since 2001, OLMS investigations have yielded a total of 842 indictments with 802 convictions and returned more than $88 million in restitution to rank-and-file union members.
Has to make you feel really good about the effectiveness of the monthly dues....
Free to Work
From Foundation for Economic Education:
An Institute for Justice (IJ) case that last week attracted international media attention vividly illustrates the uncontrolled growth of occupational licensing and the outrageous lengths that a cartel will go to protect all facets of its business from the most harmless of trades.
Mercedes Clemens was threatened with thousands of dollars in fines and criminal prosecution unless she stopped . . . massaging horses. In Maryland two powerful groups decided to monopolize the growing field of animal massage by requiring all practitioners to spend four years in veterinary school -- where massage is not even taught.
Suggesting that only people with veterinary degrees are capable of massaging animals is like suggesting that only people with medical degrees are capable of massaging humans. Preventing Clemens -- who is a licensed human-massage therapist and certified in equine massage -- from working in her chosen trade has absolutely nothing to do with consumer or animal safety and everything to do with the financial interests of the veterinary cartel.
Perhaps the most well-organized cartelization effort underway in the United States today is in the interior-design industry. A powerful faction of insiders has already put thousands of its competitors, mainly middle-aged and elderly women, out of work.
The American Society of Interior Designers (ASID) represents less than 3 percent of all designers, but its members have designated themselves as spokespeople for the entire industry. In over 30 years of lobbying, ASID has never presented a single shred of evidence to support its extraordinary claim that literally "every decision an interior designer makes affects life safety and quality of life."
This kind of protectionism is non-sense. But when you can concentrate benefits and spread out costs you are sure to get corruption and special interest pressure.
Thursday, August 21, 2008
Father Ted...The Great Alaska Benefactor
No wonder that Sen. Stevens keeps getting re-elected. He gives more money per capita than any Senator. I hope this guy gets hammered. Alaska was suppose to join the Union and not cost tax payers a dime. I guess they decided to change their policy up North. From Citizens Against Government Waste.
CAGW has brought widespread attention to Sen. Ted Stevens’ (R-Alaska) lengthy record of securing special interest, pork-barrel projects following his indictment by the Justice Department at the end of last month on seven counts of failing to disclose $250,000 worth of gifts from a corporate benefactor. Sen. Stevens helped take home a total of 1,452 pork-barrel projects worth $3.4 billion between 1995 and 2008, and Alaska has been the number one state in pork per capita every year since 1999. Some of Sen. Stevens’ more infamous earmarks include $25 million for a supercomputer to study how to trap energy from the aurora borealis; $750,000 for grasshopper research; $500,000 for the Alaska Spruce Bark Beetle Task Force; $200,000 for the city of North Pole for recreation improvements; and $176,000 for the Reindeer Herder’s Association. Sen. Stevens also defended the $223 million earmark for Alaska’s notorious “Bridge to Nowhere” on the Senate floor in 2005, threatening to resign his seat if Congress removed funding for the bridge. “The incarceration of two members of Congress and the conviction or confession of numerous staff members in relation to earmarks has done nothing to rein in the proliferation of pork on Capitol Hill. This latest allegation about the abuse of power will be ignored at members’ peril,” warned CAGW President Tom Schatz. Read more about Sen. Stevens' indictment. See his "Pork Tally."
View some of the media coverage of CAGW's statistics and comments on Sen. Stevens' pork barreling in the Los Angeles Times, The New York Times, The Scotsman, USA Today and The Washington Times.
Porkers Of The Month Honors
Citizens Against Government Waste (CAGW) has named Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-Nev.) Porkers of the Month for leading a do-nothing Congress into a five-week recess. Of the 106 bills enacted since January, 94 -- or 89 percent -- were to name government buildings or lands, extend or make technical corrections to existing laws, or passed either by unanimous consent or with less than 10 dissenting votes. The dubious accomplishments include “Frank Sinatra Day,” “National Plumbing Industry Week,” and “National Day of the Cowboy.” In addition, the congressional leaders have deliberately ignored the October 1 deadline for passing the 12 annual appropriations bills. Only one of the bills has passed the House, and the House Appropriations Committee has approved only four others. In the Senate, the Appropriations Committee has approved nine, but none has reached the floor. The Speaker and Majority Leader appear to be awaiting the presidential election, hoping that the winner will favor higher spending and more earmarks. They had also wanted to avoid a vote on the moratorium on offshore oil drilling, which is typically renewed through the appropriations process, though they reversed course last week and said they would allow a vote. For leaving town after Congress has spent nearly all of its time on frivolous legislation and failing to address critical issues, CAGW names Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid the August 2008 Porkers of the Month. Read more about the Porker of the Month.
Media Scare Tactics
Washington Post Columnist Relies on NY Times, Blows It on Exports
Thursday, August 21, 2008
In “Obama’s Factory Floor,” the Washington Post’s Harold Meyerson today wrongly asserts that the decline in the dollar has not aided manufacturers. The basis of Mr. Meyerson’s claim is a story that appeared in Monday’s New York Times. As Meyerson writes, “Nonetheless, as the New York Times’ Louis Uchitelle reported Monday, most of the rise in U.S. exports has come in corn, wheat and other agricultural commodities, not in aircraft or machinery”.
This is totally false. It turns out that over half of what Mr. Uchitelle claims in his story are unprocessed commodities are actually manufactured products, like steel, chemicals and processed food products. It is manufactured products, not agricultural commodities, that are the driving force behind U.S. export growth.
During the first half of this year, manufactured products accounted for 81 percent of the rise in overall goods exports compared to the first half of 2007. Agricultural exports, by comparison, accounted for just 15 percent of the increase. In fact, exports of machinery and transportation products like aircraft alone increased a third more than all agricultural exports combined!
Mr. Meyerson goes on to ask “Will America ever get its manufacturing back?” Get it back? Last year, U.S. manufacturing production reached an all-time high! The United States is the largest manufacturing economy in the world, accounting for fully a fifth of world-wide manufacturing production in 2006 (latest data available from the United Nations.) Manufacturing production has slowed in recent quarters, but this is mostly due to spillover effects from the ongoing housing recession and a downturn in purchases of motor vehicles, not a lack of export growth.
Mr. Meyerson then goes on to criticize Senator McCain’s support of free trade agreements stating that “McCain has supported every offshoring, free-trade accord, past or pending, that has decimated the Midwest;”. Again, Mr. Meyerson should check his facts. Through the first six months of 2008, U.S. manufacturers had a trade surplus with our Free Trade Partners.
The next time Mr. Meyerson writes on manufacturing and trade, he should first check out the facts. They may lead him to a different conclusion…although knowing Mr. Meyerson’s writings, probably not.
Kids Should Have Liberty Too
Having a drinking age just criminalizes kids. Kids experiment. We all (at least most) did and were fortunate not to be labeled a criminal (after getting caught).
My list of reasons why we should have NO drinking age:
1. Parents can teach responsible consumption habits when they feel it is appropriate for their kids to consume.
2. Kids that over consume will seek out help if they know they will not be prosecuted
3. Friends will take over consumers to medical care if they think it is appropriate knowing they will not get in trouble
4. It will lower enforcement cost of businesses (no more mean bouncers at the door)
5. Fake IDs (an even bigger offense) will cease to exist
6. Kids can drink in a supervised environment at home, not is some remote field where they can get hurt (see Eagle) and then drive home
7. For some reason legal activity is just not as fun as illegal activity
8. Kids need to learn responsible behavior is more supervised social structure. Not when they go to college with fewer responsible social safety nets.
A good portion of the argument is here.
Obamanomics and Taxes
Then again, he thinks he can raise Capital Gains taxes 5% and pay for $600B in new spending he is proposing in the campaign. This guy must really be the second coming if he can pull of a miracle like that. It would surely be the biggest miracle since Christ fed the multitudes with a basket of fish and bread.
This editorial in today's WSJ gives some good background on the B Hussein tax plan.
Then again, B Hussein could be a giant fraud and liar....
In a June 26 interview on the Fox Business channel, Mr. Obama said he wanted to roll back the Bush tax cuts for those in the top 5% of incomes -- that is, about $145,000 per year. He also voted for the Democrats' fiscal year 2009 Budget Resolution, which would raise taxes on individuals earning $42,000 or more.
Wednesday, August 20, 2008
Something To Make You Mad.
Birth Rate 3X Higher for Women Receiving Welfare
The Russian Side Of the Strory
Russia is still a world power whether we want to beleive that or not. They can play the energy card and hold a good portion of the world hostage. Energy is a weapon just like guns and tanks. We need to remember that in our foreign policy. In fact, we should just stay out of this conflict like we have failed to do in so many others over the last 100 years.
The Lunacy of Energy Independence
It's amazing how ideas with no merit become popular merely because they sound good.
Most every politician and pundit says "energy independence" is a great idea. Presidents have promised it for 35 years. Wouldn't it be wonderful if we were self-sufficient, protected from high prices, supply disruptions and political machinations?
The hitch is that even if the United States were energy independent, it would be protected from none of those things. To think otherwise is to misunderstand basic economics and the global marketplace.
Trade also saves us money. "We import energy for a reason," says the Cato Institute's energy expert, Jerry Taylor, "It's cheaper than producing it here at home. A governmental war on energy imports will, by definition, raise energy prices".
Don't Obama and Pickens realize that we get something useful for that money? It's not a "transfer"; it's a win-win transaction, like all voluntary trade. Who cares if the sellers live in a foreign country? When two parties trade, each is better off -- or the exchange would never have been made. We want the oil more than the money. They want the money more than the oil. They need us as much as we need them.
Read the entire column and pass it along.
Why I Recommend Basic Economics From Sowell
One of the most widespread and dramatic examples of amateurs outperforming professionals has been in economies that have had central planning directed by highly educated people, advised by experts and having at their disposal vast amounts of statistical data, not available and probably not understandable, by ordinary citizens.
One easy to understand reason is that central planners in the days of the Soviet Union had to set over 24 million prices. Nobody is capable of setting and changing 24 million prices in a way that will direct resources and output in an efficient manner.
For that, each of the 24 million prices would have to be weighed and set against each of the other 24 million prices. in order to provide incentives for resources to go where they were most in demand by producers and output to go where it was most in demand by consumers.
In a market economy, however, nobody has to take on such an impossible task. Each producer and each consumer need only be concerned with the relatively few prices relevant to their own decisions, with coordination of the economy being left to supply and demand.
In short, amateurs were able to outperform professionals in the economy because the amateurs did not take on tasks beyond the capability of any human being or any manageable group of human beings.
Of course the entire column is worth reading.
Another Classic Letter
Don Boudreaux
Here's a letter that I sent today to the Boston Globe:
Derrick Jackson wants government to reduce income differences among Americans ("Politely declining to touch the income gap," August 19). Forget that even poor Americans today generally have greater access to goods and services than did middle-income Americans of a generation ago. Instead ask: what kind of philosophy demands that government adopt and act on values that all decent parents teach their children to reject?
Who among us sends our children to school or to the playground with admonitions to begrudge classmates or playmates possessing nicer clothing or fancier toys? Who among us counsels our youngsters to form schoolyard coalitions for forcibly confiscating expensive sneakers and video games from 'rich' kids for "redistribution" to poorer kids? Who among us would not scold our children for such envy, and punish them severely if they participated in such thievery?
Children should avoid envy and learn to thrive by producing rather than by taking. The same is true for adults.
Sincerely,
Donald J. Boudreaux
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
B Hussein's Tax Plan
From the WSJ today.
Moreover, the tax credits would mostly go to those who pay little or nothing in federal income taxes. His trick is to make the tax credits "refundable." Thus, if the tax credit is for $1,000, but the taxpayer would otherwise only pay $200 in taxes, the government would write a check to the taxpayer for $800. If the taxpayer pays nothing in federal income taxes, the government would pay him the whole $1,000.
The latest Congressional Budget Office data shows the bottom 40% of income earners already pays no income taxes. Indeed, they receive a net payment from the federal income tax system -- meaning from the taxpayers -- equal to 3.8% of all federal income taxes, because of the refundable tax credits under current law. The middle 20% of income earners, the true middle class, pays 4.4% of federal income taxes.
Overall, the bottom 60% of income earners pay less than 1% of federal income taxes on net. When "tax credits" primarily go to this group in the form of checks from the government (rather than a reduction in their tax burden) it is simply an abuse of the language to call the spending a tax cut.
Consequently, to say, as the campaign does say, that the candidate's tax plan is a tax cut on net -- and that it would limit taxes to 18.2% of GDP -- is grossly misleading. The Obama tax plan would sharply increase real taxes. It also would come nowhere near to paying for the massive increases in federal spending he has proposed, including the spending that is disguised in the form of refundable tax credits.
Taxes
(source: Tax Foundation, IRS).
B Hussein could continue this growth. I guess I need to stay out of the top 1%.
Government Debt
http://www.chrismartenson.com/debt
Gun Rights
Armed 85-year-old woman forces intruder to call cops
I wonder how B Hussein feels about this?
What is Seen Vs What is Not Seen
State projects may create jobs, but the proper question is, do they create wealth? The state could easily reduce Michigan's unemployment to 0% by mandating that every unemployed citizen shovel dirt on some state project without pay. Employment alone is not a good indicator of economic success; overall wealth is. Even if state spending can "create jobs," creating jobs alone does nothing for our state's overall prosperity or standard of living.
Let's say the state spends $1 billion on road projects. It is easy to see all the laborers and machinery employed to complete the $1 billion worth of projects. It seems all those laborers and the manufacture of all that machinery signify new growth in the economy. But where did that $1 billion come from?
It came from taxpayers. What use would that $1 billion have been put to had it not been taken by the state and spent on roads?
One billion dollars divided by the state's population of 10 million people equals $100 per citizen. What would all of those citizens have done with an extra $100? Perhaps some would spend it at the movies, some at the hardware store, some on food, some on clothing, and some may have saved or invested the money. If every citizen had that money to save or spend, then every movie theatre, retailer, grocer, or investment portfolio would have received more revenue and produced more goods — and hired more people to make and sell them. How much more? $1 billion.
Too many times people, especially politicians, forget the money that government spends is the people's money. If they were not seeing a significant piece of the paycheck forfeited to the government, they could spend that surplus on other things (maybe even save some of it). What most of us see are the workers and new roads. What we fail to see is all the things that money could have been spent on to actually create wealth instead of just move it around.
The Social Security Myth
From the EconLog:
Andrew Biggs writes,
First, Sen. Obama says, "Social Security has lifted millions of seniors and their families out of poverty. Without it, nearly 50 percent of seniors would live below the poverty line."
This is a common talking point, but let's be clear on what it means: if we forced people to pay Social Security taxes all their lives but didn't pay them any benefits, yes, nearly 50 percent of seniors would live below the poverty line. But this is a silly standard. If we were truly "without" Social Security, we would also be without Social Security taxes, which individuals could then save on their own for retirement. So the better question would be, "Without Social Security taxes and benefits, what would the poverty rate among seniors be?"
The answer is, about the same as the current rate. In the 1930's, many seniors were poor. Today, most seniors are affluent. It is tempting to credit Social Security. However, the main cause is economic growth.
Take away the economic growth of the last 75 years and leave Social Security, and seniors would still be poor. Take away Social Security and leave the economic growth, and most seniors would be affluent.
Government Never Wants the Blame
Andrew Cuomo, the youngest Housing and Urban Development secretary in history, made a series of decisions between 1997 and 2001 that gave birth to the country's current crisis. He took actions that—in combination with many other factors—helped plunge Fannie and Freddie into the subprime markets without putting in place the means to monitor their increasingly risky investments. He turned the Federal Housing Administration mortgage program into a sweetheart lender with sky-high loan ceilings and no money down, and he legalized what a federal judge has branded "kickbacks" to brokers that have fueled the sale of overpriced and unsupportable loans. Three to four million families are now facing foreclosure, and Cuomo is one of the reasons why.
Cuomo's predecessor, Henry Cisneros, did that [made sure CONGRESSIONAL housing goals were being met] for the first time in December 1995, taking a cautious approach and moving the GSEs toward a requirement that 42 percent of their mortgages serve low- and moderate-income families. Cuomo raised that number to 50 percent and dramatically hiked GSE mandates to buy mortgages in underserved neighborhoods and for the "very-low-income." Part of the pitch was racial, with Cuomo contending that Fannie and Freddie weren't granting mortgages to minorities at the same rate as the private market. William Apgar, Cuomo's top aide, told The Washington Post: "We believe that there are a lot of loans to black Americans that could be safely purchased by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac if these companies were more flexible."
While many saw this demand for increasingly "flexible" loan terms and standards as a positive step for low-income and minority families, others warned that they could have potentially dangerous consequences. Franklin Raines, the Fannie chairman and first black CEO of a Fortune 500 company, warned that Cuomo's rules were moving Fannie into risky territory: "We have not been a major presence in the subprime market," he said, "but you can bet that under these goals, we will be." Fannie's chief financial officer, Timothy Howard, said that "making loans to people with less-than-perfect credit" is "something we should do." Cuomo wasn't shy about embracing subprime mortgages as a possible consequence of his goals. "GSE presence in the subprime market could be of significant benefit to lower-income families, minorities, and families living in underserved areas," his report on the new goals noted.
Fannie also developed a "flexible" product line, providing up to 100 percent financing and requiring borrowers to make as little as a $500 contribution, and bought $13.7 billion of those loans in 2003. In addition to subprime loans and securities, both banks burst into the "alt-a" market, making alternative products easily available to borrowers who had slightly better credit histories than subprime borrowers, but were unwilling to provide full documentation of their financial histories. (It was the "alt-a" investments that recently brought down the private bank IndyMac.) These risky adventures, according to the 2004 HUD report, prompted Freddie to claim that "the increased goals created tension in its business practices between meeting the goals and conducting responsible lending practices," a self-serving attempt to plant the blame back on HUD.
The HUD secretary is also required to produce voluminous rules that govern how the GSEs meet those goals, and the 187-page rules Cuomo issued opened the door to abuse.
The rules explicitly rejected the idea of imposing any new reporting requirements on the GSEs. In other words, HUD wanted Fannie and Freddie to buy risky loans, but the department didn't want to hear just how risky they were.
While fashioning these final rules, Cuomo wrestled with the octopus-like reach of Fannie and Freddie, which spend tens of millions each year on lobbying firms. The GSEs hired 88 lobbying firms over six years, three of which were friendly enough with Cuomo to give to his campaign committee later.
Now this is the same government that B Hussein wants to take over our health care. Just makes you wonder how many casualties this bureaucracy would create?
Monday, August 18, 2008
The Cost of The War On Drugs
There have been several news article of prominence lately as it relates to the War on Drugs. Several of those article are about how overzealous, local law enforcement is using SWAT teams to storm innocent people's homes and cause all kinds of damage. One case recently involved the mayor of a small town where SWAT teams killed his two dogs. No drugs (at least that were theirs). From AP.
Reason.tv has a video where the former Police Chief of Seattle declares the War on Drugs a complete failure. They have chosen to stop enforcing many of the anti-drug laws.
Now today, the WSJ has a column about how the War on Drugs is making Mexico an incredibly violent country. This makes it hard for one of our closest allies to maintain law and order.
The War on Drugs is a political boondoggle. It has created a huge Federal bureaucracy that spends billions of tax payer dollars. When the programs fail, it is always because there is not enough money to fight the war properly. So budgets get increased only to follow the same cycle of not enough money next year. Failure like this in the free market results in bankruptcy.
There was a lot of violence in the 1920's due to alcohol prohibition. Today, very few (if any) people lose their life as the result of trafficking in alcohol. Why? Because it is a legal activity that is heavily taxed and regulated by the government.
We could eliminate all this madness my simply making drugs legal. Taxing them and regulating them will actually put money in the Federal Treasury instead of costing all of us billions for no results. It will also keep many non-violent people out of our over-crowed prison system, again saving tax payers billions.
Now I think illegal narcotics and drugs are a terrible thing. However, people should have the right to control what substance they put in their own bodies. It is their decision to pursue a life of destruction. The nanny state cannot dictate "proper" behavior as we can clearly see in the War on Drugs.
The old saying goes that if you want less of something you should tax it. That simple concept can reduce the costs associated with drugs and make all of us better off in the long run.
Saturday, August 16, 2008
Thursday, August 14, 2008
The Great Ag Heist...From Taxpayers
Maps are from the USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service. The average farm real estate value has increased by 85% in the last five years, from $1,270 per acre in 2003 to $2,350 in 2008 (see top chart above, click to enlarge). Many Midwest corn and grain states like the Dakotas, Minnesota, Illinois, Indiana and Nebrask have experience double-digit increases in farm values in just the last year (see bottom chart above, click to enlarge).Strong commodity prices and farm programs, outside investments, favorable interest rates, and tax incentives continue to be the factors that drive farm real estate values to record levels.
Update: With farm real estate values booming, commodity farm prices close to historical highs, and farm profits at record levels (see chart below), this group still needs farm subsidies (e.g. $288 billion 2008 farm bill).
Exxon is Huge....
ExxonMobil CEO and chairman Rex Tillerson defended his company's staggering $11.7 billion in profits for the second quarter, saying that the company's earnings reflected the magnitude of its business operation. "I saw someone characterize our profits the other day in terms of $1,400 in profit per second. Well, they also need to understand we paid $4,000 a second in taxes, and we spent $15,000 a second in cost," Tillerson told ABC News' Charles Gibson. "We spend $1 billion a day just running our business. So this is a business where large numbers are just characteristic of it."
B Hussein's Investment Advice...More Government
Mr. Obama says that he is going to make you better off by increasing taxes. But taxes are like a gigantic pay cut, and it is hard to see the benefit in that.
Or perhaps Mr. Obama is saying he will increase someone else's taxes and give you some of the loot. Well, maybe so, but you had better make sure you get an extra big share — paid up front.
Economics 101 tells us that Mr. Obama's tax increase would over the next five years damage the economy to the tune of about $2.5 trillion. In doing so, it would reduce incomes by at least 3% and on average each month cost 25,000 jobs. (Perhaps yours.)
A job is too precious a thing for the economy to lose and, once gone, is expensive to recreate. Economywide, the re-creation of a new full-time job on average requires about $500,000 of additional gross domestic product, which in turn typically entails about twice that amount of business capital investment.
Mr. Obama would make job creation even harder by hiking marginal tax rates on capital investment by 35% and greatly expanding the regulatory burden on employers.
Be careful not to trade your job for a "mess of pottage" (Genesis 25:29-34.) Though Mr. Obama may promise you an extra big share from one of his new government spending programs, experience says that things never really work out quite that way.
According to the government's own studies, only about 50% of the promised benefit from government spending ever materializes. The rest seems to disappear "down the drain," as A.P. Herbert predicted.
Investing your money in the government is a sure loser — so bad, in fact, that selling shares in such a bunko operation to the public ought to be against the law. But Mr. Obama is by no means the first politician to do so, and many have gotten themselves elected.
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
Obamanomics
When AARP thinks its a bad idea, it must really be a bad idea....
"The proposal would exempt comparatively well off, though not affluent, senior citizens from tax and give them a benefit not generally available to working Americans," said the Tax Policy Center paper. It "helps only those low-income seniors who currently pay income taxes. Those too poor to owe any tax _ arguably those most in need _ would get no benefit."
Even the powerful seniors' lobby AARP doesn't seem excited about Obama's idea. An AARP bulletin on the presidential candidates' tax plans barely mentions it, saying that Obama's proposal could partly offset additional taxes that Obama would impose on seniors through higher tax rates on dividends and capital gains.
From Townhall.com
Another Sowell Classic On B Hussein
Sowell on Townhall.com
If You Want Less Of It, Tax It.
Politicians in Annapolis are scratching their heads wondering what happened to all those chain smokers who were supposed to help balance Maryland's budget. Last year the legislature doubled the cigarette tax to $2 a pack to pay for expanded health-care coverage. Eight months later, cigarette sales have plunged 25% and the state is in fiscal distress again.
A few pols are pretending to be happy that 30 million fewer cigarette packs have been bought in the state so far this year. As House Majority Leader Kumar Barve put it, fewer people smoking is "a good thing." Yes, except that Maryland may be losing retail sales more than smokers. Residents of Maryland's Washington suburbs can shop in nearby Virginia, where the tax is only 30 cents a pack, and save at least $15 per carton.
The Maryland pols are so afraid this is true that they've made it a crime for residents to carry two packs of cigarettes that weren't purchased in the state. In other words, the state says it's legal to smoke, so long as you use cigarettes that the government can tax and thus become a financial partner in your bad habit. But if you dare to buy smokes across state lines, you can be fined.
Members of Congress, please take note. Democrats are planning one more pre-election go at a $35 billion children's health program expansion (S-chip) funded by a 61-cent per pack tobacco tax increase. They justify the new levy as a "sin tax." OK, but if Americans don't start sinning a whole lot more, states and Uncle Sam are going to go broke.
Monday, August 11, 2008
Krugman Misses the Point on Universal Health Care
What’s easy about guaranteed health care for all? For one thing, we know that it’s economically feasible: every wealthy country except the United States already has some form of guaranteed health care.
It is not economically feasible. There is a cost of providing unlimited health care, and it is a cost many cannot afford. Health care has to be rationed just like every other scarce resource. We do not have an unlimited number of hospitals, doctors, nurses or even medications. Today those resource are allocated based on price. For many Americans the prices come in the form of insurance premiums and co-pays, but it is a real cost. Now with HSA and FSA, people can make choices about their health care based on cost. This is a positive step in the reduction of health care costs (actually having people bear the cost themselves makes them think about the true cost).
The politics of guaranteed care are also easy, at least in one sense: if the Democrats do manage to establish a system of universal coverage, the nation will love it.
All people will NOT love it. Particularly the people that see their tax bills skyrocket to pay for coverage for people that would rather drive nice cars and have cell phones instead of paying for health care insurance for their families. The people that have to wait in line for hours to get an emergency procedure or the the people that have to wait months to get in the que for surgery that may save their life will not like it. Just ask the Canadians about this "little" problem with Universal Health Care. The other people that will not love it are the people that can make their own health care decisions that will now be made by some lousy government bureaucracy.
I know that’s not what everyone says; some pundits claim that the United States has a uniquely individualistic culture, and that Americans won’t accept any system that makes health care a collective responsibility. Those who say this, however, seem to forget that we already have a program — you may have heard of it — called Medicare. It’s a program that collects money from every worker’s paycheck and uses it to pay the medical bills of everyone 65 and older. And it’s immensely popular.
Medicare is not all that popular. Ask anyone under 65 if they like getting 1.65% of their check taken out in the form of taxes for 45 years. I don't. Older people are over-consuming health care resources today (at subsidized rates) and that is driving up the cost for the rest of us. For many elderly, there is absolutely no cost for them to spend a couple days in the hospital. Again, those beds are a limited resource. Low government reimbursements through Medicare mean the rest of us have to pay more to cover those expenses. We have the few taking care of many just around the corner which is very different from the many taking care of the few that we experience today.
The Massachusetts plan has come in for a lot of criticism. It includes individual mandates — that is, people are required to buy coverage, even if they’d prefer to take their chances. And its costs are running much higher than expected, mainly because it turns out that there were more people without insurance than anyone realized.
Mandates are just a nice way of saying taxes. It also is code for you do not know what is best for you and the government will show you the light. Costs are higher than expected because people over consume things they perceive as being free.
The short lesson on universal health care is that nothing is free and that prices are the best means to guide decisions. I know of no one that does not like the idea of universal health care, myself included, but then again I know of no one that would not like to live in utopia either. If government really worked this way we could have a department of gasoline that gave us all free (albeit subsidized) gas. Do you really think that would be costless to society? Health care is no different.
